2015年12月28日

アメリカはシリアにおいて目標を選択し、手段を選択すべきだ。(2)

The notion that the only reason that the Islamist militias emerged in Syria is because we created a vacuum by not adequately arming the secular rebels is laughable nonsense. Syria has long had its own Sunni fundamentalist underground. In 1982, when then President Hafez al-Assad perpetrated the Hama massacre, it was in an effort to wipe out those Syrian Islamists. So, yes, there are cultural roots for pluralism in Syria — a country with many Christians and secular Muslims — but there’s also the opposite. Do not kid yourself.

perpetrate:を行う
kid yourself:現実を甘く見る

That is why on a brief visit to Darkush, Syria, in December 2012, I was told by the local Free Syrian Army commander, Muatasim Bila Abul Fida, that even after Assad’s regime is toppled there would be another war in Syria: “It will take five or six years,” he added, because the Islamist parties “want Shariah, and we want democracy.” There were always going to be two civil wars there: The liberals and jihadists against Assad and the liberals and jihadists against each other.

Don’t get me wrong. My heart is with the brave Syrian liberals who dared to take to the streets and demand regime change — unarmed. These are decent, good people, the kind you would like to see running Syria. But it would take a lot more than better arms for them to defeat Assad and the jihadists.

get wrong:誤解する
decent:人並みの /礼儀正しい
take a lot more than:よりもっと多くの時間がかかる

Here Iraq is instructive. You need to go back to the 2010 elections there when Ayad Allawi, a secular Shiite, who ran with Sunnis, Shiites and Christians on a moderate, pluralistic platform — like Syria’s moderates — actually won more seats than his main competitor, Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki.

instructive:役に立つ /教訓的な

What enabled that? I’ll tell you: The U.S. decapitated Saddam’s regime, then helped to midwife an Iraqi Constitution and elections, while U.S. (and Iraqi) special forces either arrested or killed the worst Sunni and Shiite extremists. We took out both extremes without reading them their Miranda rights. That is what gave Iraq’s moderate center the space, confidence and ability to back multisectarian parties, which is what many Iraqis wanted. When our troops left, though, that center couldn’t hold.

decapitate:打ち首にする
midwife:の誕生に一躍を買う
take out:取り除く 
Miranda rights /warning 《the 〜》ミランダ警告◆警察が身柄拘束した被疑者への尋問に先立ち与える警告。黙秘権がある、供述すれば不利な証拠になり得る、弁護人の立会いを求める権利がある、弁護人を雇うお金がない場合は公費で弁護人を付してもらうことができる、の4項目から成る。

I don’t want U.S. troops in Syria any more than anyone else, but I have no respect for the argument that just arming some pro-democracy rebels would have gotten the job done. Yes, there has been a price for Obama’s inaction. But there is a price for effective action as well, which the critics have to be honest about. It’s called an international force. We are dealing not only with states that have disintegrated, but whole societies — and rebuilding them is the mother of all nation-building projects. Will the ends, will the means. Otherwise, you’re not being serious.

disintegrate:崩壊する /衰弱する
mother of:の先がけ

月曜日。今日はこれまで。昨日は朝、建部が来て、ボードとインラインスケートを持って行った。昼を一緒にした。午後は英語の勉強をし、夕方は事務所の片付けとした。今日は午後に一柳さんのところに訪問する。そのとはまだ片付けがある。ではまた明日。
 

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海野 恵一
1948年1月14日生

学歴:東京大学経済学部卒業

スウィングバイ株式会社
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アクセンチュア株式会社代表取締役(2001-2002)
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