2016年11月16日

なにを期待するか レーガンがしたこととフランスの極右の国民戦線の間ぐらいだろうか。

What to expect
Something between Reaganism and France’s National Front, probably
Nov 12th 2016 | JANESVILLE, WISCONSIN | From the print edition

なにを期待するか
レーガンがしたこととフランスの極右の国民戦線の間ぐらいだろうか。



Get to work, Mike

Mike:インディアナ州のマイク・ペンス知事が副大統領
Get to work:仕事に取り掛かろうぜ

AMERICA is about to take a hard right turn. All that is in doubt is whether the final destination is one that Ronald Reagan might have saluted—a country of low taxes, light regulation and free markets, in which individuals and businesses are free to seek prosperity with a minimum of government involvement—or a more nationalist, populist and even statist place, with questions of law, order, identity and cultural tradition playing a role that demagogic European politicians might both recognise and applaud. 

saluted:賞賛する
statist:国家統制主義者

In their hearts many Republican leaders in Congress prefer something closer to the first vision. But on the morning after election day the party’s keeper of the Reaganite flame, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Paul Ryan, stepped to a podium in his hometown of Janesville, Wisconsin, and pledged fealty to Donald Trump. Mr Ryan, a free-trader and fiscal conservative who had rebuked Mr Trump several times during the campaign, credited the president-elect with securing a mandate for his version of government. He thanked Mr Trump for providing electoral coat-tails long enough to create the first unified Republican government in Washington since 2007. 

the first vision:最初の示現 モルモン教において最初の示現(さいしょのしげん First Vision)とは1820年に14歳のジョセフ・スミス・ジュニアがニューヨーク州マンチェスターの森でひざまずき祈ったところに2人の神が現れ、啓示を受けたことを指す。
fealty:領主国王に対する誓い
fiscal:財政の
securing:獲得する
mandate:信任
version:見解
coat-tails:影響力

But if Mr Ryan and his fellow congressional leaders are to survive this new order, they will have to embrace some unfamiliar positions. Mr Trump won office by challenging Republican orthodoxy on trade barriers (he likes them, though they alarm big business), spending (the president-elect sees no pressing need to reform Social Security payments to the old), relations with Russia’s president Vladimir Putin (Mr Trump is a fan) and immigration. Trump supporters are sure they have been promised that government agents will round up and expel millions of foreigners without the right papers, possibly including hundreds of thousands of youngsters brought to the country as children and shielded from deportation by executive orders signed by Barack Obama. They also expect a wall on the border with Mexico, and something tangible will probably have to be built to stem a voter-revolt—though Congress may balk at spending the vast sums needed for the fortifications Mr Trump has described. 

orthodoxy:伝統的考え
big business:大企業
round up:一斉検挙する
youngsters:若者たち
shielded:保護する
executive orders:大統領命令
stem:を食い止める
voter-revolt:反乱を起こしている投票者
balk:躊躇する
fortifications:要塞



Many in the party are now eager to show that it can synthesise long-held conservative principles with Mr Trump’s worldview. Mr Ryan talked of freeing ordinary workers from the Obamacare health law. Signalling an all-out assault on the environmental rules and schemes that Mr Obama had hoped would be a big part of his legacy, Mr Ryan spoke of reining in oppressive federal officials to save the livelihoods of coal miners, farmers and ranchers who use public lands in Western states. Yet Senator Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader in the Senate, moved quickly after the election to quash Mr Trump’s promises to impose term limits on members of Congress as part of a plan to change the culture in Washington. 

synthesise:合成する
Signalling :を示す
all-out:総力を挙げての
assault:襲撃・挑戦
oppressive:圧政的な・弾圧的な
miners:炭鉱労働者
ranchers:牧場経営者
quash:否定する

Optimistic Republicans predict that Mr Trump will be a sort of CEO-president, setting grand strategy while delegating day-to-day governance to Congress and to his vice-president, Mike Pence, a sternly conventional Christian and fiscal conservative who served in the House of Representatives before becoming governor of Indiana. They describe Mr Trump as a boss who disdains policy memos in favour of face-to-face briefings, and is more fussed by what works and what resonates with his base of working-class voters than with the niceties of ideology. Republicans certainly have a chance to shape America as they will. Mr Trump will get to appoint at least one justice to the Supreme Court, and in the country at large will enjoy support from 34 Republican governors. Overall the party of Mr Obama is weaker than it has been in generations, and faces still more losses in 2018, when the Senate map strongly favours Republicans. 

sternly :厳格に
disdains:軽蔑する
fussed:騒ぎ立てる
resonates:共感を呼び起こす
niceties:優雅なもの
shape:方向付ける
appoint at least one justice to:少なくとも公平に任命権を行使する
at large:全体の 

Expect conservative action in every field of domestic policy. Obamacare will be an early target for dismantling, says Senator John Barrasso of Wyoming, a surgeon by background and a member of the Senate leadership. Several colleagues credit the unpopularity of the health law with securing their re-election this week, Mr Barrasso says. Republicans do not need to present a 2,000-page replacement bill on the Senate floor, he explains—Mr Trump can do a lot to dismember the law by appointing a new Health and Human Services Secretary who relaxes the many rules and mandates in the act, as Congress prepares alternatives that use tax credits, savings accounts and greater competition to provide cheaper, if less comprehensive health cover. With tens of millions of Americans covered by Obamacare, Republicans will look to states to step in and take the lead role currently played by the federal government, though Democrats predict millions will still fall through the gaps. 

dismantling:廃止する・解体する
surgeon:外科医
credit:と考えている
replacement bill :代替の法案
dismember:再編成する
tax credits:税額免除
savings accounts:貯蓄預金口座
fall through:頓挫する

Congressional bosses and Trump advisers predict swift moves to expand production of American gas, oil and coal, whether by building new pipelines (including the long-delayed Keystone XL pipeline from Canada), easing exports of natural gas or opening public lands to new drilling and mining. Environmental agencies and the Department of the Interior will be staffed with pro-business executives, says a senior Trump adviser, following the dictum that “personnel is policy.” 

dictum:格言
personnel is policy:人事は政策次第だ

この記事もトランプがどう動くべきかを語っている。まずは共和党が彼をサポートしようとしている。例のトランプの公約についても意見を述べている。メキシコとの壁は結局、議会が躊躇するだろうとも言っている。トランプはそれを見越して言ってるはずだ。そもそも壁を作るとなると金がかかりすぎる。彼を支持してきた今までの政権に反抗してきている人たちをなだめなければならない。彼はビジネスマンだ。だから体制もそうなる。オバマが反対してきたカナダからのパイプラインも承認するだろうし、景気刺激策をどんどんとるだろう。オバマケアも廃止すると言ってきたが、今までその恩恵に浴してきた人たちを無視することはないだろう。そもそもそうした政策に実行にはどう言った人材を起用するかにかかっている。その人材の選定ではまだもめているようだが、どうも、オバマよりまともなようだ。

木曜日。昨日は愚妻と昼食をとった。愚妻の病苦がだんだん良くなってきているので、精神的に少し楽になってきた。1日塾の資料作成をしていた。夜は海野塾、懇親会があった。楽しい1日だった。今日は妻と昼を一緒にした後は銀行との交渉があって、夜はインプレスの志度さんと会食がある。ではまた明日。

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海野 恵一
1948年1月14日生

学歴:東京大学経済学部卒業

スウィングバイ株式会社
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アクセンチュア株式会社代表取締役(2001-2002)
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