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グローバル人材育成の道｜海野惠一（元アクセンチュア代表）2016年12月23日
トランプの基本方針 仕掛り中だ。
The Trump Doctrine: A Work in Progress
Geopolitical Weekly DECEMBER 20, 2016 | 08:02 GMT stratfor
トランプの基本方針 仕掛り中だ。
Commentators among the Washington establishment have been quick to dismiss President-elect Donald Trump's foreign policy moves outright over the past few weeks, but his actions merit deeper exploration than knee-jerk disbelief. (JEFF SWENSON/Getty Images) By Reva Goujon
outright ：完全に
merit：注目に値する
exploration ：検討・調査
knee-jerk：とっさの
disbelief.：信じられないようなこと
The world is in a "frenzy of study," Henry Kissinger said in a recent interview. At home and abroad, strategists and pundits are trying to piece together a blueprint of American foreign policy under U.S. President-elect Donald Trump from a stream of tweets, some campaign slogans, a few eye-catching Cabinet picks, meetings at Trump Tower, and a pingpong match already underway with Beijing. Highbrow intellectualism can be a handicap in this exercise.
frenzy：取り乱している
pundits：有識者
piece together：断片をつないで全貌を知る
picks：選択すること
Highbrow ：知的な
intellectualism：知的追及への傾倒
handicap：不利な条件
Commentators among the Washington establishment have been quick to dismiss Trump's foreign policy moves outright as erratic and self-serving over the past few weeks. In an op-ed entitled "Trump Failed His First Foreign Policy Test," for instance, columnist David Ignatius admonished the president-elect for the "hot mess" his phone call with Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen precipitated. Trump makes people uncomfortable. It's what he does best, in fact. But how this quality applies to foreign policy is a question that merits deeper exploration than knee-jerk displays of stricken disbelief. After all, as Kissinger noted in his Dec. 18 interview, "a president has to have some core convictions."
erratic：気まぐれな
self-serving：私欲に走る
admonished：強く忠告する
mess：へま
precipitated：よくない結果を招く
stricken：苦悩する
convictions：自信・信念
So what are Trump's? From what we can discern so far from his upbringing, the trajectory of his career and the profiles of those who have infiltrated his inner circle, Trump prizes business acumen and a "killer" instinct for managing affairs. He has enough corporate firepower in his Cabinet to fill the next Forbes' list. By nominating ExxonMobil CEO Rex Tillerson as secretary of state, he has demonstrated his belief that tough deal-making — identifying sources of leverage and showing a willingness to use them — is the secret to running a country and presiding over the international system.
discern：に気づく
upbringing：子供の教育
infiltrated：浸透する
prizes：大切にする
acumen：商才
presiding：先頭に立って対処する
Trump does not fear nationalism; he sees it as the natural and rightful path for every state, the United States included, to pursue in protecting its interests. He also seems to have internalized the idea that the United States is losing its competitiveness and that internationalist foreign policy is to blame. Finally, Trump apparently believes that U.S. foreign policy has become too predictable and overwrought with diplomatic formality. Better to say it like it is and call out institutions and conventions that have outlived their usefulness.
internalized：を身につける
predictable：先が読めてしまう
overwrought ：緊張しすぎている
formality：かたぐるしさ
Better to say it like it is：率直にものを言ったほうがいいので
call out：喧嘩をうる
outlived their usefulness：それらがもはや役に立たなくなっている
This, at least, is the worldview at a distance. When we come in for a closer look, however, some of the cracks come into clearer view. In 1953, General Motors Co. CEO Charles Wilson was asked in his Senate confirmation hearing to become President Dwight D. Eisenhower's secretary of defense whether his decisions in office could end up harming his company. He answered that they might but that he could not imagine such a scenario since "for years I thought what was good for the country was good for General Motors and vice versa." In fact, what is good for a business will not always be congruent with the national interest.
at a distance：ある距離を置いて
cracks：割れ目・欠陥
confirmation：指名承認公聴会
congruent：一致する
A company is answerable to its shareholders, just as a president is answerable to some degree to Congress and the American public. But the mission of the CEO — maximizing value for its shareholders — entails different considerations when pursuing the raison d'etat and preserving a social contract with a nation's citizenry. The latter entwines economic arguments with the social and moral obligations of the state, a nebulous territory where inefficiencies, compromise and the social consequences of massive deregulation are unavoidable.
entails：を伴う
raison d'etat：国家的理由 通常は非難されるべき政治的または外交的行為が、国益を守るために正当化されること
entwines：絡み合っている
nebulous：漠然とした
トランプがどう外交政策を考えるのかまだ漠然としていてわからない。台湾の蔡英文に電話したことは今までの外交慣習にそぐわないという意見もあるが、彼はそれなりのビジネスマンとしての打算を考えているのかもしれない。ただ、企業の経営ミッションと国家の利益に対する対応の仕方は異なってくるだろう。そうした彼の対応に仕方がまだ見えないが、今までの外交政策を打破しようとしていることは明らかだ。
習近平は南シナ海のあちこちに軍事基地を作って、勝手に我が物顔に振舞っていることに対して、トランプはそれはおかしいと言っている。南シナ海が中国の海ではないということはUNCLOSが判決を出している。それに従わないということは善ではないと彼は思っている。そうしたアメリカの精神を彼は発揮しようとしている。日本はどうかと言うと、日本の精神が失われて久しいが、そうしたアメリカに日本はどう対処していくのだろうか？アメリカの政治はオバマから不連続線になった。日本とは違う路線になったが、日本が合わせていくような出れるではなさそうだ。
土曜日。昨日は１月出版の原稿のレビュー。午後からは研修資料のレビュー。１日多忙だった。今日は海野塾だ。明日はいちにち今週水曜日の研修のテーマであるComfort Womanの見直しを行う。スライドを５枚ほどつかしようと思っている。ではまた明日。
Geopolitical Weekly DECEMBER 20, 2016 | 08:02 GMT stratfor
トランプの基本方針 仕掛り中だ。
Commentators among the Washington establishment have been quick to dismiss President-elect Donald Trump's foreign policy moves outright over the past few weeks, but his actions merit deeper exploration than knee-jerk disbelief. (JEFF SWENSON/Getty Images) By Reva Goujon
outright ：完全に
merit：注目に値する
exploration ：検討・調査
knee-jerk：とっさの
disbelief.：信じられないようなこと
The world is in a "frenzy of study," Henry Kissinger said in a recent interview. At home and abroad, strategists and pundits are trying to piece together a blueprint of American foreign policy under U.S. President-elect Donald Trump from a stream of tweets, some campaign slogans, a few eye-catching Cabinet picks, meetings at Trump Tower, and a pingpong match already underway with Beijing. Highbrow intellectualism can be a handicap in this exercise.
frenzy：取り乱している
pundits：有識者
piece together：断片をつないで全貌を知る
picks：選択すること
Highbrow ：知的な
intellectualism：知的追及への傾倒
handicap：不利な条件
Commentators among the Washington establishment have been quick to dismiss Trump's foreign policy moves outright as erratic and self-serving over the past few weeks. In an op-ed entitled "Trump Failed His First Foreign Policy Test," for instance, columnist David Ignatius admonished the president-elect for the "hot mess" his phone call with Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen precipitated. Trump makes people uncomfortable. It's what he does best, in fact. But how this quality applies to foreign policy is a question that merits deeper exploration than knee-jerk displays of stricken disbelief. After all, as Kissinger noted in his Dec. 18 interview, "a president has to have some core convictions."
erratic：気まぐれな
self-serving：私欲に走る
admonished：強く忠告する
mess：へま
precipitated：よくない結果を招く
stricken：苦悩する
convictions：自信・信念
So what are Trump's? From what we can discern so far from his upbringing, the trajectory of his career and the profiles of those who have infiltrated his inner circle, Trump prizes business acumen and a "killer" instinct for managing affairs. He has enough corporate firepower in his Cabinet to fill the next Forbes' list. By nominating ExxonMobil CEO Rex Tillerson as secretary of state, he has demonstrated his belief that tough deal-making — identifying sources of leverage and showing a willingness to use them — is the secret to running a country and presiding over the international system.
discern：に気づく
upbringing：子供の教育
infiltrated：浸透する
prizes：大切にする
acumen：商才
presiding：先頭に立って対処する
Trump does not fear nationalism; he sees it as the natural and rightful path for every state, the United States included, to pursue in protecting its interests. He also seems to have internalized the idea that the United States is losing its competitiveness and that internationalist foreign policy is to blame. Finally, Trump apparently believes that U.S. foreign policy has become too predictable and overwrought with diplomatic formality. Better to say it like it is and call out institutions and conventions that have outlived their usefulness.
internalized：を身につける
predictable：先が読めてしまう
overwrought ：緊張しすぎている
formality：かたぐるしさ
Better to say it like it is：率直にものを言ったほうがいいので
call out：喧嘩をうる
outlived their usefulness：それらがもはや役に立たなくなっている
This, at least, is the worldview at a distance. When we come in for a closer look, however, some of the cracks come into clearer view. In 1953, General Motors Co. CEO Charles Wilson was asked in his Senate confirmation hearing to become President Dwight D. Eisenhower's secretary of defense whether his decisions in office could end up harming his company. He answered that they might but that he could not imagine such a scenario since "for years I thought what was good for the country was good for General Motors and vice versa." In fact, what is good for a business will not always be congruent with the national interest.
at a distance：ある距離を置いて
cracks：割れ目・欠陥
confirmation：指名承認公聴会
congruent：一致する
A company is answerable to its shareholders, just as a president is answerable to some degree to Congress and the American public. But the mission of the CEO — maximizing value for its shareholders — entails different considerations when pursuing the raison d'etat and preserving a social contract with a nation's citizenry. The latter entwines economic arguments with the social and moral obligations of the state, a nebulous territory where inefficiencies, compromise and the social consequences of massive deregulation are unavoidable.
entails：を伴う
raison d'etat：国家的理由 通常は非難されるべき政治的または外交的行為が、国益を守るために正当化されること
entwines：絡み合っている
nebulous：漠然とした
トランプがどう外交政策を考えるのかまだ漠然としていてわからない。台湾の蔡英文に電話したことは今までの外交慣習にそぐわないという意見もあるが、彼はそれなりのビジネスマンとしての打算を考えているのかもしれない。ただ、企業の経営ミッションと国家の利益に対する対応の仕方は異なってくるだろう。そうした彼の対応に仕方がまだ見えないが、今までの外交政策を打破しようとしていることは明らかだ。
習近平は南シナ海のあちこちに軍事基地を作って、勝手に我が物顔に振舞っていることに対して、トランプはそれはおかしいと言っている。南シナ海が中国の海ではないということはUNCLOSが判決を出している。それに従わないということは善ではないと彼は思っている。そうしたアメリカの精神を彼は発揮しようとしている。日本はどうかと言うと、日本の精神が失われて久しいが、そうしたアメリカに日本はどう対処していくのだろうか？アメリカの政治はオバマから不連続線になった。日本とは違う路線になったが、日本が合わせていくような出れるではなさそうだ。
土曜日。昨日は１月出版の原稿のレビュー。午後からは研修資料のレビュー。１日多忙だった。今日は海野塾だ。明日はいちにち今週水曜日の研修のテーマであるComfort Womanの見直しを行う。スライドを５枚ほどつかしようと思っている。ではまた明日。
